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10. Appendix (10.1.5-)
Written by Messiah   
Thursday, 06 July 2006

10.1.5    Creation, computers and consciousness

The Theory of Inevitability recognises one, and only one, thing it cannot explain - the mystery of Creation, although this is probably an inevitability that happened before what we are able to comprehend. The fact that we are here is incomprehensible and impossible. Even empty space would be incomprehensible and impossible. That Inevitability Theory cannot explain Creation is not surprising as no philosopher or scientist has ever come within a mile of doing so but it is surprising how rarely people think in awe about it - another subject, like Inevitability, the brain seems to avoid contemplating. Much remains unknown, for example time is probably nothing like we understand it to be. Consideration of concepts such as ‘correct/incorrect’ and ‘prediction’ hint time may not be the steady linear progression of change we experience. Its pattern could be ripples on the surface of a flat sea or railway tracks with branches eventually rejoining the main line. Some modern theories, including Einstein’s physics and 4 dimensional space/time, consider the future is already there and it is accepted that, if these are correct, ‘free will’ does not exist. Inevitability Theory does not clash with such theories or with the existence of an infinite number of times, universes and lives existing on and moving between many planes. It does not rule out life on other planets operating on moral systems identical to or different from our own, indeed it is probable that such do exist. What it does say is that, within Creation, overwhelming evidence proves everything, however complicated and including human behaviour, happens in an exactly predestined way, which is evidenced by the fact that everything is completely predictable, if you know enough.

What is ‘prediction’? A difficult question. A conscious prediction is basically only movement of electrons in the brain occasioned by events and part of the inevitable change. The prediction and the matter predicted might not be successive as humans envisage but part of a change in a type of time we do not ‘yet’ understand. At first sight, predictions can arise only within calculating machines such as a brains or other computers stimulated to make it by inevitable events but a bird migrating or tree dropping leaves is making a prediction, albeit an unconscious one. The more is registered about a situation the more ‘correct’ a prediction is likely to be. The more accurately it can be predicted with fewer facts the more ‘predictable’ it is considered to be. The easy concept is that the mind examines past facts and trends, which are a series of facts, allows for uncertainties or absence of information, which are the same thing, and deduces what will happen at a future moment. The mind assumes the event has not yet happened, that it proceeds independently of the forecast, although related to it in time and may be aware, as a factor, that the event , for example in politics, can be influenced if the forecast is disclosed. Incidentally, the fact that an event can be influenced by a prediction being known about it is another item of evidence for Inevitability Theory.

Consider horses in a race and two punters. In Inevitability Theory the predictions of the two punters and the actual winner are inevitable. Assume one punter wins and the other loses. The concept of ‘correct’ and ‘incorrect’ may or may not be not valid, both predictions were in fact parts of an inevitable and possibly simultaneous change as was the result of the race. Both predictions were inevitable events, as is this recording of ‘correct’ or ‘incorrect’ against them.

Consider the Stock Exchange in relation to its general movements. It is notoriously difficult to predict but scientists are working on improved computers and programmes and business people/economists on providing better information. It is reasonably to suppose that their accuracy will improve to an extent that markets will one day be predictable, except for the effect of major unforeseen events, such as war and even these ‘unknowns’ will be allowed for in decisions and, in time, become foreseen. Steadily improving forecasting of the Stock Exchange, earthquakes and weather, give circumstantial evidence for the theory that the more you know, the more predictable the future becomes and, if you know all the facts, the future is 100% predictable and therefore inevitable.

Consider a personal share prediction on the Stock Exchange. You make a selection based on information possessed. You do not know if it will prove the most  profitable selection. A year later the share has grown in value but not by as much as others. You have made neither a right nor a wrong choice. There is perhaps no such thing. Your selection looking forward and your review looking back have both been events in your mind part of an inevitable pattern of change. The only blank in the knowledge necessary to analyse the situation is understanding of the nature of ‘time’. It might be that there is no forward or backward in time, only, to use an inadequate word, simultaneous change, like the movement of a clock, of which your prediction and retrospection are inevitable parts. Consider your position as an observer of the event. Exponents of ‘soul and free will’ set store by the ability of the individual to learn from the past, observe present and predict future events. In fact the observer is part of the inevitable change as is his observation, prediction and observation of the results. The brain may well be unique in the universe in that it observes and thinks it can think backwards and forwards but that does not mean that it does not operate as part of an inevitable programme and the evidence is that it does.

Consider a prediction in relation to the brain making it. Incidentally, not only humans make conscious predictions. A bear with its cubs, seeing hunters in the distance, makes a prediction, instinctively or otherwise, and acts accordingly. The ‘observation’ software of the brain notes new facts and recalls facts and results of predictions recorded in the past. From these it deduces the changes that are going to happen at various, probably a series, of future times. Confidence in the prediction is graded in accordance with the amount and quality of information available, including past experience. The degree to which what happens is in accordance with the prediction is noted by the brain and may be used when making future predictions. Predictions might be regarded as series of changes proceeding in relation to others, the predictor deducing successive changes. If there is a factor of which the brain has no knowledge, it must ignore it in its prediction but in many cases will build-in an awareness factor allowing for ‘no-knowledge’ areas, based on experience of similar situations and allow for this in the prediction. The concept of  ‘prediction’ and its relationship to time is not clear but what supports the Theory of Inevitability is that, however prediction is defined, the more and better quality information the brain or other machine contains, the more accurate the prediction will be, right down to 100% certainty where there is 100% knowledge. In practise, the nearer the event is to its fulfilment at the time of the prediction, the more accurate the prediction is likely to be. This is only because, usually, a greater proportion of information is possessed relevant to an event which is just about to happen than to a distant one. This does not alter the fact that all aspects - observer, information, prediction etc. are part of a situation the future of which is totally predictable when sufficient information is possessed, more being necessary for distant than for imminent events. Again, it is stressed that making the prediction is itself part of the inevitable course of events.

 


 
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